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2024-12-13 05:49:28

Reserve Bank of Australia: It will take some time for inflation to continue to reach its target. The job market is still tight. The economic situation has affected the family's discretionary expenditure. The gap between total demand and supply continues to narrow, and output growth is weak.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Broad-based index products are expected to increase the Y share of personal pension, and personal pension products are expected to expand after the second anniversary of the personal pension system. It is understood that mainstream broad-based index products are expected to increase the personal pension Y share, including Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, CSI A500 Index, GEM Index and other products, which can provide investors with more allocation needs. (SSE)


Xinjiang's revitalization plate rose in a short period of time, Xinjiang Jiaojian had a daily limit, Qingsong Jianhua, Bona Film and Friendship Group had previously closed the board, the western animal husbandry rose by more than 10%, and the western construction, Beixin Road and Bridge, Tianshun shares, Beiken Energy and Guotong shares followed suit.Tongliao, Inner Mongolia: Support the use of provident fund balance to pay the down payment for house purchase. On December 9, Tongliao Housing Provident Fund Center of Inner Mongolia issued the Notice on Optimizing and Adjusting the Use Policy of Housing Provident Fund. The document proposes to increase the calculation amount of housing provident fund loans. Before the adjustment, it was "the amount of housing provident fund loan application does not exceed 20 times the balance of the account", and after the adjustment, it was "the amount of provident fund loan does not exceed 25 times the balance of the provident fund account", which will be implemented as of the date of issuing the notice. At the same time, support the use of provident fund balance to pay the down payment for house purchase. Support depositors to withdraw the balance of housing provident fund as the down payment for the purchase of newly-built self-occupied housing, that is, after the purchaser and the development enterprise sign the proposed purchase contract (agreement), they can apply for withdrawing the balance of housing provident fund account to pay the down payment for the purchase, which will be implemented from December 20. Tongliao will also adjust the maximum age for employees to repay loans. According to "Measures of the State Council on Gradually Delaying the Statutory Retirement Age", the term of individual housing loans for housing provident fund will be extended to 68 years for men and 63 years for women, or to 5 years after the statutory retirement age of depositors, with the longest loan term not exceeding 30 years. This policy will be implemented as of January 1, 2025.OpenAI has made a big profit, and institutions have increased their positions in four high-growth potential stocks. According to data treasure, on December 10th, OpenAI officially opened the artificial intelligence video generation model Sora to users, and it has been 10 months since the first public preview of the product. At the same time, the company announced the launch of a new version of Sora, Sora Turbo, saying that it is significantly faster than the version previewed in February. In early trading today, AIGC concept stocks broke out, and Shensi Electronics and Worth Buying all recorded a 20cm daily limit. According to data treasure statistics, as of December 9, there were nearly 200 concept stocks involving AIGC, and the total market value of A shares was close to 3 trillion yuan. Since the beginning of this year, the cumulative increase of 12 concept stocks has doubled, including Doushen Education, PricewaterhouseCoopers, An Shuo Information, Fushi Holdings and Bestak. The cumulative increase of Doushen Education was 279.64%, ranking first. At the same time, according to the unanimous prediction of more than five institutions, there are 11 AIGC concept stocks whose net profit growth rate is expected to exceed 20% from 2024 to 2026.


Musk showed that robots conquer rugged terrain without relying on visual system. Tesla released a video showing the latest progress of its humanoid robot Optimus walking on complex terrain. The video shows that Optimus can walk steadily on a hill slope covered with mulch. Tesla CEO Elon Musk said on social media that the robot can control its electric limbs through neural networks and can walk on this rugged terrain without remote control.Zhejiang took the lead in exploring the EOD model system. Recently, the Provincial Department of Ecology and Environment, the Provincial Development and Reform Commission, the Zhejiang Branch of CDB and the Zhejiang Branch of Agricultural Development Bank jointly issued the Guidelines for the Storage of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial), the Management Regulations of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial), and the Implementation Evaluation Rules of Zhejiang Eco-environment-oriented Development (EOD) Projects (Trial) EOD model is an innovation of market-oriented eco-environmental governance model, which aims to promote the effective integration, value-added feedback and overall promotion of eco-environmental governance with strong public welfare and related industries with good returns, and realize the integrated development of regional eco-environmental governance and industries. At present, 18 EOD projects in the province have been included in the financial support project library of the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, and two batches of 18 provincial pilot EOD projects have been announced. (released by Zhejiang)Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.

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